2011年10月31日星期一

Bank injects £75bn into economy

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6 October 2011 Last updated at 11:26 GMT Bank of England The UK's economic recovery has been weaker than hoped The Bank of England has said it will inject a further £75bn into the economy through quantitative easing (QE).

The Bank has already pumped £200bn into the economy by buying assets such as government bonds, in an attempt to boost lending by commercial banks.

But this is the first time it has added to its QE programme since 2009. There have been recent calls for it to step in again to aid the fragile recovery.

The Bank also held interest rates at the record low of 0.5%.

On Wednesday, data showed the UK economy grew by 0.1% between April and June, which was less than previously thought.

"In the United Kingdom, the path of output has been affected by a number of temporary factors, but the available indicators suggest that the underlying rate of growth has also moderated," the Bank said in a statement.

"The deterioration in the outlook has made it more likely that inflation will undershoot the 2% target in the medium term.

"In the light of that shift in the balance of risks, and in order to keep inflation on track to meet the target over the medium term, the committee judged that it was necessary to inject further monetary stimulus into the economy."

'Warranted'

The CBI and the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) business groups welcomed the Bank's move to expand the QE programme to £275bn, but said that on its own, its impact would be limited.

"This measure will help support confidence, but we need to recognise that its impact on near term growth prospects is likely to be relatively modest," said Ian McCafferty, the CBI's chief economic adviser.

"Only once the turmoil in the eurozone is resolved will confidence be fully restored."

David Kern, chief economist at the BCC, said: "Higher QE on its own is not enough and we urge the MPC to look at other radical methods.

"There is a strong case for the MPC to help boost bank lending to businesses by immediately raising its purchases of private sector assets."

The manufacturers' organisation, the EEF, said that the Bank's decision to act now, before the third-quarter estimates of GDP and its latest inflation forecast were released, "would indicate that members believed immediate action was warranted in order to head off a deteriorating growth outlook".


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VIDEO: Can the eurozone maintain the euro?

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29 September 2011 Last updated at 21:40 GMT Help

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Greeks on strike over austerity

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5 October 2011 Last updated at 17:59 GMT A protester explains why she is against the austerity measures in Greece

Dozens of stone-throwing youths have clashed with police in Athens as public sector workers went out on strike in protest at Greece's austerity measures.

The 24-hour strike saw flights and ferry services cancelled, government offices and tourist sites closed, and hospitals working with reduced staff.

Many strikers expressed frustration and anger at the cuts.

The European Commission is discussing ways of propping up banks in Europe to protect them from the Greek crisis.

The general strike is the first since the Greek government announced an emergency property tax and the suspension of 30,000 public sector staff last month.

But despite these measures, the government has failed to cut its deficit to 7.5% of economic output (GDP) - a target it must meet if it is to receive the next instalment of bailout money from the EU.

Meanwhile, in its latest report on the European economy, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that economic growth is in danger of petering out and a global recession in the coming year cannot be ruled out.

Global financial markets have been in turmoil over fears that Greece could default on its debt, most of which is held by European banks. In other developments:

On Tuesday, Moody's ratings agency slashed Italy's credit rating from Aa2 to A2, blaming an overall loss in confidence in eurozone governments.Despite the Italian downgrade, European markets rose sharply as trading opened on Wednesday.Belgium and France are working on plans to rescue the Franco-Belgian Dexia bank, which is exposed to Greek debt.German Chancellor Angela Merkel said again that Greece must remain a member of the eurozone.'Lives ruined'

The government says the stringent austerity measures cannot be avoided if the country is to reduce its deficit of 8.5%.

Continue reading the main story image of Mark Lowen Mark Lowen BBC News, Syntagma Square, Athens

It is a very noisy demonstration indeed here, certainly the biggest demonstration by Greece's public sector in several weeks. The country has ground to a halt.

All of these people are extremely angry at the austerity measures that the government is desperately trying to push through to qualify for the next instalment of its international bailout, in order to stave off bankruptcy and avoid defaulting on its debts.

The government says it is in a very difficult position, because it must pursue its austerity drive to meet its fiscal targets and reduce the budget deficit to avoid bankruptcy within the next few weeks.

But this wave of social unrest is growing by people who say the measures are deepening the recession, stagnating the economy and stunting Greece's growth.

But the measures are hugely unpopular and have led to a wave of strikes and protests.

Tens of thousands of people stayed away from work across Greece. In central Athens, at least 16,000 marched to Syntagma Square to join a demonstration outside parliament.

Although most of the protests were peaceful, police fired tear gas at small groups of demonstrators who were throwing stones.

About 10,000 people marched in the northern city of Thessaloniki.

Critics of the austerity drive say it is deepening the recession, stunting Greece's growth - the economy will shrink 5.5% this year - and stopping the country from being able to reduce its government debt itself.

Protesters also say they are unfairly bearing the burden of the country's debt.

"This is an opportunity for the Greek people, whether in the public or in the private sector, to fight this, to deny this logic that we must bow our heads all the time to save the country and show patriotism," said 37-year-old protester Dimitris Kizilis.

"We believe, as workers, that patriotism is to respond with actions."

Continue reading the main story
There are some European regulators and politicians who regard the downgrade of Italy and the woes of the Franco-Belgian bank Dexia as positive events (oh yes) ”

End Quote image of Robert Peston Robert Peston Business editor, BBC News Stathis Anestis, a spokesman for Greece's main union the GSEE, said the new measures were "just extending the unfair and barbaric policies which suck dry workers' rights and revenues, and push the economy deeper into recession and debt".

"With this strike, the government, the EU and the IMF will be forced to reconsider these disastrous policies," he told Reuters.

Greek civil servant and trade unionist Tiana Andreou told the BBC that people's lives had been ruined.

"We have decided that we're going to stop this."

Some militant civil servants are promising to sabotage the moves. On Tuesday, protesters again blocked the entrance to several government departments, including the finance and transport ministries.

The government says it has enough cash to pay pensions, salaries and bondholders until mid-November, having previously said it needed more money by mid-October to avoid a default.

Inspectors from the IMF, European Central Bank and European Commission - known collectively as the troika - have been in Greece this week to assess its financial situation.

But eurozone finance ministers have delayed a decision on handing over the money, after Greece said it would not meet this year's deficit-cutting plan.

The government admitted that the budget deficit will stand at 8.5% this year, rather than the 7.5% target.

On Wednesday, the IMF's European chief Antonio Borges said there was no rush for the second bailout, and that he was "confident negotiations will come to a positive conclusion".


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Qatar gears up for 2022 World Cup

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6 October 2011 Last updated at 23:01 GMT By Bill Wilson Business reporter, BBC News Qatar delegates celebrate after being awarded the 2022 World Cup hosting rights Qatar now has 11 years to prepare for the 2022 World Cup To say the football world was shocked when Qatar was given the right to host the 2022 football World Cup would be an understatement.

Critics, and many still remain, wondered how such a massive event could be held in a country with a total population less than Greater Manchester's, and where the summer temperature can reach 50C.

However, the man at the helm of organising the tournament insists criticism is misplaced and that the Middle Eastern Emirate will be able to stage a memorable tournament 11 years from now.

Hassan al-Thawadi, the secretary-general of the Qatar 2022 Supreme Committee, is looking to provide a World Cup memorable for all the right reasons.

Mr al-Thawadi said that two billion people were within a four-hour flight of Qatar, and that the World Cup would "build bridges of understanding between the Middle East and rest of the world".

And some bridges need to be built.

He said that since Fifa had awarded it the tournament, the emirate had faced an "avalanche of accusations and allegations" relating to claims it had bribed its way to securing the World Cup.

Mr al-Thawadi said Qatar had in fact conducted its bid campaign "to the highest ethical and moral standards".

'Promises'

Now he wants to focus on leaving a "bold legacy" from hosting a World Cup which some analysts estimate could cost as much as £138bn to bring about.

Qatar hopes to leave a legacy in the areas of football development, air-cooling technology, building modular stadiums (which can be downsized after the event), and fan experience.

The Khalifa stadium will be expanded from 50,000 seats to 68,030 New stadiums will be built and existing ones will have their capacity extended

"We can deliver... and fulfil the promises we made to the world," Mr al-Thawadi told delegates at the Leaders in Football conference in London.

He said Qatar has been drawing inspiration about how to host a successful event from a number of sources, including London 2012.

The small nation, population 1.7 million, is now looking to appoint a project management company by the end of the year - "a crucial appointment which we must get right".

It is also looking to draw up a "master schedule" for stadiums and infrastructure, in order to resolve any potential pitfalls on the road to 2022 as soon as possible.

There will be 12 stadiums in use at the World Cup, and it is hoped the first new one with air-cooling technology with will be in place by 2015.

Cooling

In addition, Mr al-Thawadi said the 2022 World Cup would benefit from a "state-of-the-art transport infrastructure" which needed to be largely constructed from scratch.

The official said that the small size of the emirate meant fans would be able to stay in the same hotel for the duration of the tournament, and also to travel easily and take in two games in one day at different venues.

One on the thorny question of temperature, the country says it is also developing air-cooling techniques.

"Technology is already being trialled in open spaces in Qatar," says Mr Al al-Thawadi.

There has been talk of moving the World Cup to the winter, but this notion has been scotched my many, including the German football federation.

"We submitted a bid that looks towards hosting a summer World Cup - we are moving towards that," says the 2022 supremo.

He said it was up to the global football community to come to any unanimous decision if that situation was ever to be changed.

Meanwhile, nine of the stadiums being used will be modular, and Qatar will donate 170,000 seats to developing countries after the World Cup, when stadiums are slimmed down.

That he said, meant the country would not be lumbered with any large "white elephant" rarely full stadiums after 2022.

Alcohol

For potential visiting fans, Mr al-Thawadi wanted to quell fears that there would be nothing for them to do after matches.

Continue reading the main story
We are confident and excited that this will leave a legacy of understanding, and that people can unite through a shared love of football”

End Quote Hassan al-Thawadi Qatar 2022 "There is significant investment in tourism in Qatar, museums and entertainment sites, and a service industry dedicated towards fans," he says.

"We have always said alcohol would be available. It might not be as available as it is in London, but any fan that wants to enjoy a drink can do so."

He said the Qatar public would also be prepared for the influx of fans and, for example, their different dress sense.

In addition, he said Qatar was host to many different communities, including English people, and was "used to being hospitable".

He added: "We have hosted major events over the years" - including the 2006 Asian Games.

Catalyst

The country has also applied to host the 2017 World Athletics Championship - in competition with London - and also the 2020 Olympics.

"The Olympic Games bid is not a distraction to 2022, and may be an opportunity for some synergies with the World Cup."

Qatar's Mohammed el-Sayed (white kit) fights for the ball with Bahrain's Mohammed Hussain It is hoped the 2022 World Cup will help improve football quality in Qatar

Hosting these large sporting events could, he said, be used as "an economic tool".

"The World Cup can be a catalyst of economic change," he believes, not only for Qatar but for the whole Middle East region.

He said a number of yet-to-be-revealed initiatives were in the pipeline to involve other Middle East countries' participation in the World Cup.

Finally, on the playing field, it is hoped that 2022 will provide the same boost to football in West Asia that the 2002 World Cup in Korea and Japan did for East Asia, particularly the two host countries.

"We want people to come and explore, and learn about us," he says.

"We are confident and excited that this will leave a legacy of understanding, and that people can unite through a shared love of football."


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Apple co-founder Steve Jobs dies

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Crisis at S Korean savings banks

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3 October 2011 Last updated at 16:02 GMT Lucy Williamson By Lucy Williamson BBC News, Seoul Financial officials agree that the banks' credit practices have been too loose Who's to blame for bad financial shape of South Korea's savings banks? About lunchtime during the last bright days of the Korean summer, Jeong Gu-haeng, the president of one of South Korea's biggest savings banks, jumped from his sixth floor office window, killing himself.

As he jumped, prosecutors were inside the building, seizing documents from the bank's headquarters.

They were investigating whether his Jeil 2 Savings Bank had mishandled loans given out to creditors.

The death of the bank's president - splashed over the front pages of newspapers here - refocused attention on a widening crisis among the country's savings banks.

Jeil 2 was one of seven banks to be suspended last month after financial regulators found that they all had too little capital stored against risky loans.

They have been given 45 days to correct the situation or face being sold.

It was the second round of suspensions to hit Korea's savings banks.

Nine others were suspended earlier this year, and several others have narrowly avoided it.

The current investigation - into seven of the suspended banks - is looking at whether major stakeholders and chief executives misused the company's capital to finance personal projects or those of their close contacts.

But the question of why so many of Korea's savings banks were in such bad financial shape to begin with, goes much deeper.

Risky loans

A large part of the answer lies in the forest of concrete on the outskirts of Seoul's city centre.

Kilometre after kilometre of grey-beige tower blocks, rising high into the sky, have been built to house the capital's burgeoning workforce.

Continue reading the main story Jeil Savings BankJeil 2 Savings BankTomato Savings BankPrime Mutual Savings BankAce Mutual Savings BankDae Yeong Mutual Savings Bank Parangsae Mutual Savings Bank Until recently, real estate was a good investment here.

Prices were rising, people kept buying, and construction firms were keen to keep building.

But after the global financial crisis three years ago, demand began to fall - and with it, prices. And that left builders, and their backers, exposed.

Dr Jeong Dae hee, an associate fellow at the Korean Development Institute, says that savings banks were on the front line of the downturn in the construction industry, because they provide many of the bridging loans which get projects started, often before there are any real assets.

When builders start a construction project, he says: "They often don't have the money to do it, so they go to savings banks and ask for loans.

"But they actually don't have the land or even permission to build the apartments..

"So they make some plans, and the savings banks look at the plans, and if the plans aren't too weird, they give them the money."

As the loans became riskier, he says, the banks' interest rates got higher - meaning that when demand began to fall it was harder than ever for builders to honour their debts.

Blame game

Financial officials agree that the banks' credit practices have been too loose. And that discovery has led the finger of blame to swing in the direction of the country's financial regulators.

Dr Jeong believes that Korea's main financial enforcement agency, the Financial Supervisory Service, or FSS (which takes its cue from the Financial Services Commission, or FSC), was unable to act strictly enough in its regular audits because it was under political pressure not to scare the market.

Skyscrapers in Daegu, South Korea's third largest city after Seoul and Busan Savings banks were on the front line of the downturn in the construction industry

And also, he says, because many of the banks' senior employees were former FSS officials.

Allegations that the relationship between financial regulators and the savings banks was too cosy are widely accepted - even by regulators themselves.

One financial official, speaking on condition of anonymity, says: "The FSS has been parachuting in their retirees as auditors of the savings banks, so their juniors [who were still working in the FSS] couldn't go through a very rigorous audit."

In Korea, the sense of professional hierarchy and respect for those in senior positions is acute.

Confronting your boss is almost unheard of.

To inspect a bank which now employs a former senior colleague as auditor would put many Koreans in a difficult position.

"To some extent, we accept it," the official says.

But he also believes that the banks' "lack of risk management skills and business scope" was more to blame.

Wider impact?

But if the proper regulation and good business practices were lacking in Korea's savings banks, what about the rest of its financial industry? And what about the impact of the suspensions on the wider economy?

Dr Jeong says commercial banks are unlikely to face the same problems, because they have different financing to savings banks, and have many more assets.

Savings banks act as a kind of safety net for commercial banks, he says.

They are the first stage in the financing process, and so weed out the worst performers.

Continue reading the main story
If the problem of the savings banks is just non-performing loans, then it's going to be much easier to fix this.”

End Quote Dr Jeong Dae hee Korean Development Institute And Choo Kyungho, the vice-chairman of Korea's policy regulator, the Financial Services Commission, says there's little to worry about financially.

"There are two sides to this," he says.

"From the political-social standpoint, it's a big issue with many concerns. From a purely financial point of view, this issue is very small.

"The total assets of savings banks are less than 3% of the total financial market, so there's no chance this can escalate."

Dr Jeong agrees there's little chance of the savings banks affecting the wider economy. And the risk is made even smaller by an insurance fund that he believes will more than cover any losses.

But politically it has been tricky, even so.

The public have been shocked to learn of the 16 suspensions.

And with national elections due here next year, politicians have been queuing up to demand reform.

Mr Choo says it's not expecting any more suspensions this year, and the FSC has already put forward its proposals to improve the system - though some accuse it, and its enforcer the FSS, of refusing reform themselves.

As Dr Jeong points out, the real problems in this case aren't bad loans at all - but the trickier issues of possible illegality and lack of regulation.

"If the problem of the savings banks is just non-performing loans," he says, "then it's going to be much easier to fix this."


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2011年10月30日星期日

Dhallywood's fight for survival

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5 October 2011 Last updated at 17:37 GMT By Anbarasan Ethirajan BBC News, Dhaka Bangladeshi film posters Sixty local films were made last year in Bangladesh The Bangladeshi film industry, known as Dhallywood, is about to face serious competition.

Ever since its independence from Pakistan in 1971, local cinema halls have been banned from showing Indian films.

It was an attempt to protect the local film-making industry which is worth $20m (£12.9m).

But in the coming days, cinema halls here will show three Indian Bengali movies and nine more Hindi movies from Bollywood will be screened later.

Even though the move is not permanent, it has angered film-makers, producers and actors and has caused a fight between them and the theatre owners.

"Bollywood is a big institution. Their production cost is 100 times more than our production cost. How can we compete with them?" asks Masud Parvez Sohel Rana, a well-known Bangladeshi actor and director.

"It seems to me like you are asking a flyweight boxer to fight with a heavyweight boxer," he adds.

He says even the one-off screening of Indian movies will put more pressure on the government to lift the ban permanently, and if it happens, the home-grown movie industry will vanish in no time.

Film industry leaders also warn that more than 100,000 people are dependent on the industry and their jobs could be in danger.

Huge losses

However, cinema hall owners argue that they are losing revenue because of the ban.

Bangladeshi cinema Bangladeshi cinema owners are keen to show Bollywood movies

It is also because of the falling number of films produced locally.

About a decade ago, Bangladesh produced about 100 movies a year.

But last year, the number dropped to about 60 and it is expected to go down further this year.

"We are not getting enough movies to screen in our cinema halls," says Iftekharuddin Naushad, who owns Madhumita cinema hall in the capital Dhaka.

"As a result, many halls have either been shut down or converted into malls."

In recent years, the number of cinema halls in Bangladesh has reduced from about 1,500 to just over 600.

Many say the business is not sustainable under present circumstances and satellite television channels have been drawing away viewers.

"Our cinema halls are running with one fourth of their capacity and we are incurring huge losses," says Ahasanullah Moni, who owns Razmoni cinema hall.

The Bangladesh Motion Pictures Exhibitors Association has been urging the government to allow Bollywood movies to be screened in local cinemas to inject new life into the business.

"We are not asking to open the floodgate by importing hundreds of films. We want to screen a certain number of good Indian movies, Bollywood films, so that we can have some healthy competition," says Mr Naushad.

Joint production

Some film critics argue that importing Bollywood movies will also have benefits by forcing Dhallywood to improve its standards.

They say the poor scripting, production and technique of Bangladeshi films are driving away viewers from cinema halls.

Bollywood movies are already shown on satellite television channels in Bangladesh.

Pirated DVDs of these films are freely available across the country with Bollywood stars like Shahrukh Khan, Salman Khan and Aishwarya Rai are more popular than local actors.

Bangladeshi film Meherjaan directed by Rubaiyat Hossain Film Meherjaan include cast and crew from Bangladesh, India and Pakistan

"Without bringing Indian films to the local market, there is no way to revitalise the industry. Actually there is no industry here," says young Bangladeshi director Rubaiyat Hossain.

To overcome the present crisis, Ms Hossain proposes more Indo-Bangla joint production.

Her critically acclaimed film Meherjaan, included cast and crew from Bangladesh, India and Pakistan.

"I don't think I could have brought my film to the present technical level, if I hadn't worked with Indian technicians," says Ms Hossain.

"I have learnt a lot by working with them and we do not have that kind of post-production facilities here in Bangladesh," she adds.

In an age of satellite channels, internet and cell phones, the demand for good and well-made movies is increasing.

So it seems Bangladeshi films cannot avoid competition for very much longer.


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VIDEO: Malaysia's hard-up pensioners

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5 October 2011 Last updated at 01:36 GMT Help

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Deutsche will miss profit target

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4 October 2011 Last updated at 10:42 GMT Continue reading the main story Deutsche Bank says it will miss its profit target for the year as it takes impairment charge of 250m euros (£215m, $330m) on its Greek government debt holdings.

Germany's biggest bank also said it would cut 500 jobs, mainly outside its home market.

Deutsche Bank's statement comes as fears continue to rise about the health of the eurozone.

Shares in the bank were down 5.8% in trading in Frankfurt.

Deutsche Bank's chief executive, Josef Ackermann, told an investors' conference in London there had been a "significant and unabated slowdown in client activity".

But he added that banking business not related to sovereign debt was robust.

"We are confident that the classic banking businesses - private clients, asset management and global transaction banking - as a whole will deliver their best pre-tax profit ever."

Deutsche's profit was previously expected to be around 10bn euros.

Data from Reuters shows that since September, half the 34 analysts that follow Deutsche Bank have revised their full-year earnings estimate down by an average of 10.3% to around 7.72bn euros, including one-off charges, and corporate investments.

Deutsche Bank itself had excluded these from its target definition.

Its latest reported net profits for the three months to 30 June were 1.2bn euros ($1.8bn; £1bn), 6% higher than a year earlier.

At the time it revealed it had needed to write down 155m euros from the value of its Greek government bonds.


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6 October 2011 last updated 05: help GMT

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'Mood darkens' in finance sector

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3 October 2011 Last updated at 07:13 GMT A man looks through the early morning haze across to Canary Wharf Financial services firms expect more challenging conditions, the survey said Financial services firms are expected to cut jobs in the next three months after recent volatility on the stock markets "darkened the mood" in the sector, a report has said.

The PricewaterhouseCoopers and CBI survey said that in the three months to September growth in the sector was at its slowest pace since June 2010.

A further slowdown is expected in the coming quarter, the study said.

Sentiment has fallen for the first time since March 2009.

For the first time in two years, firms expect no improvement in profitability.

Numbers employed rose modestly in the most recent quarter, but are expected to fall by the end of the year.

"The recovery in the financial services sector is continuing, but the pace of growth has slowed compared with earlier in the year," said Ian McCafferty, the CBI's chief economic adviser.

"After a torrid couple of months on global financial markets, the mood has clearly darkened. Uncertainty about future demand, worries about the global recovery and shifting regulatory sands are weighing on sentiment.

"With business volumes predicted to slow further and little growth in income expected, firms are planning to reduce their headcount in the next quarter."


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Credit agencies 'have failures'

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30 September 2011 Last updated at 17:10 GMT Securities and Exchange Commission logo The report details a number of failures at the credit rating agencies The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has discovered "apparent failures" at 10 credit rating agencies.

It said it was concerned that the agencies - including Standard & Poor's (S&P) and Moody's - were not making timely and accurate disclosures or managing conflicts of interest.

The SEC said it expected the agencies to "address the concerns".

Credit rating agencies have been criticised for their role in the financial crisis that started in 2007.

This is because a root cause of the crisis was the bad US mortgage debt that was resold around the world, debt that was given top credit ratings by the agencies.

The agencies were accused of having conflicts of interest, because they were paid by the banks that sold the debt.

'Monitoring progress'

The three largest credit rating agencies are S&P, Moody's and Fitch.

Continue reading the main story Use the dropdown for easy-to-understand explanations of key financial terms:AAA-rating GO The best credit rating that can be given to a borrower's debts, indicating that the risk of borrowing defaulting is miniscule.The SEC did not directly link specific failings to specific agencies, but it said that two of the big three did not have specific policies in place to manage conflicts of interest where they rated financial products issued by banks in which the agencies were large shareholders.

The SEC said that one of the three largest agencies was not correctly following rating methodologies.

It said the agency in question was slow to discover, disclose and fix the methodology errors, and may have let business interests influence its mistakes.

It added that its findings did not constitute a "material regulatory deficiency" at the SEC.

"We expect the credit rating agencies to address the concerns we have raised in a timely and effective way, and we will be monitoring their progress as part of our ongoing annual examinations," said Norm Champ, deputy director at the SEC's Office of Compliance, Inspections and Examinations.

US downgrade

The SEC was given more powers to regulate credit rating agencies in the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, which was passed in July of last year.

The other credit rating agencies covered in the SEC's annual report are AM Best, DBRS, Egan-Jones, Japan Credit, Kroll Bond, Morningstar, and Rating and Investment Information.

S&P downgraded the US's credit rating in August by one notch from AAA to AA+.

Explaining the move, it said the government was not doing enough to reduce the country's budget deficit.


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2011年10月29日星期六

Japan outlines quake-tax increase

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28 September 2011 Last updated at 03:54 GMT Rescue workers walk over destroyed houses in north-eastern Japan Japan's rebuilding effort will take years to complete Japan's government and the ruling Democratic Party (DPJ) have agreed to temporarily raise taxes to pay for reconstruction after the deadly March earthquake.

The plan to raise 9.2tn yen ($120bn; £77bn) needs approval by the DPJ's coalition partner and the opposition party.

Officials said a further 2tn yen would be raised by selling government assets.

The earthquake and subsequent tsunami killed more than 16,000 people.

At the same time, thousands of homes and businesses were destroyed in the country's north-eastern coastal areas.

The new tax plan will increase taxes on incomes, companies, property and tobacco.

Corporate taxes will be raised starting next April and last three years, and income taxes will go up as of January 2012 for 10 years.

The tax on tobacco will be increased as of October 2012.

The Democratic Party of Japan also agreed to a third post-quake stimulus package of 12tn yen, government officials confirmed.

That plan must also now be negotiated and approved by opposition lawmakers.


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Eurozone manufacturing contracts

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3 October 2011 Last updated at 09:11 GMT German factory worker Markit says the German economy, the eurozone's main engine of growth, is stalling Manufacturing in the eurozone shrank at its fastest pace in two years in September, a business survey has shown.

Markit's purchasing managers' index (PMI) of activity dropped to 48.5 last month, from 49 in August. A reading below 50 indicates contraction.

That is the second consecutive month that eurozone manufacturing has shrunk.

Greece, the focal point of the eurozone's debt crisis, saw its output contract for the 25th consecutive month.

"Manufacturers are reporting the worst business conditions for over two years, facing a combination of lacklustre domestic demand and falling export sales," said Chris Williamson, Markit's chief economist.

The region has been weighed down as leaders struggle to prove that heavily indebted countries, led by Greece, will be able to avoid defaulting on their debts.

This has led to bailouts for Greece, the Irish Republic and Portugal - but the crisis has continued and has weighed on bonds and stocks globally.

Even in Germany, the engine of European economic growth, Markit's survey showed factory activity has come to a standstill.


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Qantas buys 110 Airbus aircraft

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6 October 2011 Last updated at 07:18 GMT Qantas livery on an aircraft Qantas is launching two new airlines in Asia European aircraft maker Airbus has struck a deal worth US$9.5bn (£6.2bn) with Australia's Qantas for 110 jets.

The order, said by Qantas to be the country's single largest aircraft purchase by units, will underpin the airline's expansion into Asia.

Qantas, which is launching a low-cost and a premium airline in Asia, is buying 78 Airbus 320neos and 32 A320s.

Meanwhile, Airbus said it may help customers with aircraft financing if the euro debt crisis affects orders.

Qantas' expansion plans in Asia include a low-cost tie-up with Japan Airlines and Mitsubishi Corp, as well as a separate joint-venture premium airline.

The next-generation A320neo burns about 15% less fuel than the original A320 and is a key part of EADS-owned Airbus's growth plans.

Separately, Airbus said that it could get involved in debt financing to help customers if market conditions worsen.

There have been reports that banks and institutions that bankroll the airline market are starting to scale back lending.

"We will, if necessary, enter into some financing, although we're not a bank," Tom Williams, Airbus executive vice president, told a news conference in Sydney.

Airbus and rival Boeing have been ramping up production in the last couple of years.


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Ford strikes deal with union

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4 October 2011 Last updated at 17:21 GMT Workers assemble Ford Focus vehicles at the firm's plant in Wayne, Michigan Ford says it plans to transfer work to the US from overseas if the pay deal is ratified US carmaker, Ford, says it has agreed in principle to a four-year pay deal with the United Auto Workers union.

Ford says the settlement will make it more competitive in its home market.

Exact details are being withheld until the UAW's members have a chance to review the contract.

However Ford has already announced it plans to invest an additional $4.8bn (£3.1bn) in its US factories and to create 5,750 jobs by 2015.

It says the move will include transfering work to the US that is currently carried out in Mexico, China and Japan.

The pledge adds to the 7,000 new posts the firm previously promised to introduce by the end of 2012.

The UAW also revealed that workers are set to receive improved profit-share bonus payments.

Following GM

The announcement comes less than a week after the UAW secured a separate deal with Ford's rival, General Motors.

GM agreed to pay workers a $5,000 bonus for signing the agreement, an extra $1,000 a year to cover inflation and a further pay rise for entry level workers. Ford's agreement is expected to at least partly mirror these points.

UAW's president, Bob King, said the deals signal that "the American auto industry is on its way back".

A statement from the union notes that negotiations continue with the third biggest US carmaker, Chrysler.


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Lone Star guilty of market fraud

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6 October 2011 Last updated at 11:38 GMT Korea Analysts believe the case has put off US investment into Korea A South Korean court has fined US buyout fund Lone Star $20.9m (£13.4m; 15.6m euros) and jailed its former Seoul chief for stock price-fixing.

The decision by the Seoul High Court overturned a 2008 acquittal in the long-running case.

It had temporarily halted Lone Star's efforts to sell its 51% stake in Korea Exchange Bank (KEB).

Lone Star bought the stake in KEB for $1.2 billion in 2003 and later merged it with KEB's credit card business.

Spread rumours

It was alleged Paul Yoo, who ran the firm's South Korean division, deliberately spread rumours that KEB Credit Services might reduce its capital and issue new shares, to reduce the price of a merger.

Yoo has been jailed for three years.

Lone Star has reached an agreement to sell its KEB stake to Hana Financial Group in a deal originally assessed to be worth $4bn. But the deal was put on hold awaiting the outcome of the court ruling.

The conviction, according to Seoul's Financial Services Commission, said Lone Star was likely to be judged unfit to be the majority owner of KEB.

The court case had thwarted Lone Star's attempt to sell KEB to Kookmin Bank in 2006 and to HSBC Holdings in 2008.

Public discord and the US buyout firm's legal woes have dissuaded foreign investors from acquiring Korean companies, said Henry Seggerman, president of New York-based International Investment Advisers.


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Debt-hit Spain fears youth brain-drain

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4 October 2011 Last updated at 20:21 GMT By Matthew Price BBC News, Madrid Matthew Price spoke to some Spanish students about their job options

Spain's "Lost Generation" can be found studying literature in classroom 007 at Madrid's Complutense University.

Some 28 students sit alert, behind the rows of desks waiting for a series of questions.

How many of them are confident they'll get a job when they graduate next year? No-one raises a hand.

"What sort of job?" asks one young woman.

"Any," I venture. A few hands go up.

How many believe they will get a good job? No-one.

Who thinks they will have to leave the country to find the work they want? Almost everyone immediately raises a hand, and a glum look spreads across the faces.

A class with hands held aloft - a grim symbol of the mess Spain finds itself in.

The university dining hall - a concrete walled relic from the '80s - is a buzz of chatter. Students struggle through canteen meals.

Among them is Jesus Poveda. He is 20 years old, and without much hope of a future here.

"I think we will do well at work," he says, gesturing towards his fellow diners, "but not in Spain. We should leave the country."

Opposite him sits Guillermo Lerma, also 20 years old.

"Nowadays … [a] boss prefers someone who is studying because they don't have to pay too much." he says.

"You have temporary work here, but not a salary."

'Big advantage'

Spanish unemployment is the highest in Europe - and it's still rising. The number of people looking for work in September rose by 100,000 - the largest increase in that month for 15 years.

Continue reading the main story
I don't see it as a negative... Youngsters see it as normal to move, to study, to work part of their lives in other countries”

End Quote Valeriano Gomez Labour and immigration minister Overall some 21% of people are unemployed. Among the young it's far, far worse. Almost half of all 16 to 24 year olds are without jobs.

It's an astonishing and devastating statistic for a country that desperately needs a dynamic, thriving and young workforce to help it recover from the housing crisis that plunged this economy into recession.

"It's a problem not just for them, but for all of us," believes economics professor Gayle Allard from the Instituto de Empresa in Madrid. She is an American who has lived in Spain for 27 years.

"This is the generation that will be paying for the welfare state and pensions in the future. If they can't get started with relatively secure, well-paying jobs, start to put away some savings, start to accumulate assets, start paying into the welfare system, where does that leave the rest of us?" she asks.

"It's going to be backwards. We're going to be paying for these kids for years and years. It really puts at risk the whole [economic] model."

The latest recruit to the brain-drain of Spain is Irene Roibas - an economics graduate who's leaving for the Netherlands. It's partly for personal reasons, but also because she feels her future will be better secured outside her own country.

Protesters in Madrid, 4 Oct Budget cuts have brought many students out on to the streets to protest

"I don't think that universities are preparing people [here]," she argues. Nor "that students are taking all the opportunities they have".

Does Spain need to change? "Yes, I think so, definitely."

Not everyone though is worried about people like Ms Roibas. In the offices of the labour and immigration department, the minister, Valeriano Gomez, believes that youth migration is not a problem.

"I don't see it as a negative. Spain has changed a lot. Youngsters see it as normal to move, to study, to work part of their lives in other countries.

"I don't see it as a problem. I see it as a big advantage."

Escape valve

The European Union of course makes it possible, indeed easy, for the unemployed to head elsewhere to work - although it's not the totally free labour market many champion, thanks to the language barriers that exist across the continent.

Continue reading the main story
For the country to lose this group of people who could help raise the productivity of Spain, which is quite low, is a tragedy”

End Quote Prof Gayle Allard Instituto de Empresa So Europe provides some sort of escape valve for unemployed Spanish youth. Many head for the UK, for France, but also to the US and Latin America.

Venezuela's need for engineers is said to be attractive to many Spanish.

In time the hope will be that they return to Spain, with the experience and desire to help rebuild the economy.

But much of Europe will not attract them. Youth unemployment across the EU is - on average - high at one in five.

Spain is caught up in the debt crisis that's hitting Europe. The government insists things will improve, but some fear that, without the young, it will take longer.

"For the country to lose this group of people who could help raise the productivity of Spain, which is quite low, is a tragedy," says Prof Allard.

In the university canteen many agree with that.

Across Europe, youth unemployment is rising. And just like the continent's economic crisis, there is no end in sight.


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2011年10月28日星期五

VIDEO: Syrian protests hit Lebanon tourism

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2 October 2011 Last updated at 19:03 GMT Help

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Japanese manufacturers optimistic

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3 October 2011 Last updated at 02:40 GMT worker checks for radiation at Nissan warehouse Japanese carmakers have seen their production levels return to pre-quake levels Japan's big manufacturers expect conditions to improve in the next three months, according to the Bank of Japan's Tankan survey.

The business sentiment index stood at plus two for September, up from minus nine in June, the survey showed.

Confidence was badly damaged by the March 11 earthquake, but factory output is now increasing as supply chains are restored and infrastructure rebuilt.

The survey is keenly watched and influences Japan's monetary policy.

"Manufacturers are planning a sizeable output expansion in the next few months, so we expect conditions to improve even further," Takuji Okubo of Societe Generale told the BBC.

External risks

However, despite the optimism, big firms in Japan revised down their plans for capital expenditure.

According to the survey, large businesses plan to increase capital expenditure for the current financial year by 3%, down from an earlier projection of 4.2%.

Continue reading the main story
The uncertainty over what is going to happen over the next few months seems to be hurting the sentiment”

End Quote Takuji Okubo Societe Generale Analysts said that while things have started to improve in Japan, external factors continue to dampen spirits.

There have been concerns that the ongoing debt crisis in Europe may hurt growth in the region. At the same time, economic problems in the US have raised fears of the world's biggest economy slipping into a recession.

"The biggest concerns are external, not internal, such as the impact of Europe's debt problems on global growth," said Yutaka Shikari of Mitsubhishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities.

There are fears that if growth in these regions slows, it would have an impact on consumer spending and hurt demand for Japanese exports.

Analysts said that until a long-term sustainable solution was found to these issues, they are likely to impact the expansion plans of Japanese companies.

"The uncertainty over what is going to happen over the next few months seems to be hurting sentiment," Societe Generale's Mr Okubo added.

Yen factor

The uncertainty surrounding the global economic outlook has also has a big impact on the Japanese currency. Investors have been flocking to the yen, considered as a safe-haven asset in times of economic turmoil.

That has seen the Japanese currency strengthen by as much as 8% against the US dollar in the past 12 months.

It does not bode well for the Japan's export-dependent manufacturers. A strong yen not only makes their goods more expensive but also hurts profits of companies when they repatriate their foreign earnings back home.

"If you look carefully, you can see the heavy burden of a higher yen, and their profits are under pressure," said Hideo Kumano of Daiichi Life Research Institute.

According to the Tankan survey, large manufacturers said they based their business plans on the yen averaging 81.15 against the US dollar for the current financial year. It was trading close to 77 yen against the US dollar in Asia trade on Monday.

The Japanese authorities have already intervened in the currency markets this year. Last week, the Finance Ministry said it was ready to act again and could spend another 15tn yen ($196bn; £125bn) to stabilise the currency.


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Indian summer 'sparks cash spree'

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4 October 2011 Last updated at 11:05 GMT Sunny weather Record temperatures were recorded for October in England More money was withdrawn from UK cash machines last Friday than on any other day so far this year, thanks to the hot weather, the Link network has said.

Some £577m was taken out from Link's machines that day as daytrippers prepared for the warm weekend, it said.

This was the highest amount withdrawn since Christmas Eve of last year, said the company.

Temperatures in England reached record levels for October, with the mercury hitting 29.9C (85.8F).

Cash spending

There are 64,000 cash machines connected to the Link network in the UK - that is nearly all that exist across the country. The latest figures do not include withdrawals when a customer used their own bank's ATM, so represents about 65% of total withdrawals.

Under this measure, the £577m withdrawn on 30 September was 14% higher than the amount taken out of cash machines on the same day a year earlier.

The cash spree - and the hot weather - continued through the weekend. The £252m withdrawn on Sunday was 11% more than a year earlier.

"The good weather really seems to have encouraged people to withdraw cash in preparation for increased spending over an unusually sunny weekend - confirmation that the right combination of feel good factors can boost short term spending and that cash is a very popular way of paying for these kinds of goods and services," said John Howells, chief executive of Link.

Pay day

Other factors behind the peak may include consumers choosing cash over cards when buying things outdoors, and that more people were in the UK enjoying the sunshine than would have been the case during the summer holiday season when many families go abroad.

A week ago, some retail analysts suggested that the unseasonal weather could hit early sales of autumn fashions.

Friday lunchtimes are commonly the most popular time of the week for cash machine use, with consumers preparing for weekend spending. Last Friday came at the end of the month, at a time when many workers are paid.

Previous busy times this year included the Thursday before the Royal wedding and long bank holiday weekend.


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US nears South Korea free trade

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6 October 2011 Last updated at 03:19 GMT US President Barack Obama and South Korean President Lee Myung-bak The trade deal is expected to dominate President Lee Myung-bak's visit to the US later this month The free trade agreement between the US and South Korea has cleared the first hurdle four years after the deal was first agreed.

The House Ways and Means Committee has voted to advance US free-trade agreements with South Korea, Colombia and Panama to the full House.

The push for a swift approval of the deals comes amid a slowdown in the US economy and high rates of unemployment.

Backers of the deals said they will boost US exports and create jobs.

"With zero jobs created last month and the unemployment rate hovering around nine percent, we must look at all opportunities to create American jobs," said David Camp, chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee.

Tariff concerns

The deal with South Korea is the largest US trade pact since it signed the North American Free Trade Agreement in 1994.

According to some estimates, it is expected to increase US exports to the Asian economy by as much as $10bn (£6.5bn).

Though the deal was agreed in 2007, there had been concerns in the US over tariffs imposed by South Korea on the US carmakers.

The two sides finally managed to reach an agreement on the issue last year. South Korea said it would halve its tariff on US cars to 4% and lift it completely in four years.

At the same time, US said it would also lift its 2.5% tariff on Korean cars during that period.

South Korea had also agreed to allow the US to export up to 25,000 cars a year that do not meet its more stringent safety requirements.


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VIDEO: China currency vote: US view

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3 October 2011 Last updated at 00:27 GMT Help

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2011年10月27日星期四

Experts debate eurozone options

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2 October 2011 Last updated at 00:06 GMT A number of ideas are reportedly being discussed to tackle the eurozone debt crisis.

These include a 50% write-down of Greece's government debts, strengthening big European banks that could be hit by any defaults by highly indebted governments, and boosting the size of the eurozone bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF).

Here, eight economists discuss what they think will happen and what they think needs to happen in the eurozone.

Vicky Pryce

Senior managing director of economics at FTI Consulting and former UK government adviser

Last week's events, with all the market volatility, were a serious wake-up call to all international institutions and to policymakers. I think they've understood it and institutions will be set up in such a way to ensure future crises should be averted.

I think we will see a haircut on Greek bonds, a recapitalisation programme for banks and an increase in the size of the bailout fund - but you need all these things, they need to be part of a package.

Even with that, in a year's time Europe will still be pretty weak because the long-term problems will still be there - low growth and unsustainable debt.

What we have seen for Greece will have to happen elsewhere. Haircuts are inevitable for other countries too.

They have to rethink how you achieve faster growth in Europe. If you don't get back to growth then the debt problems will remain.

The next thing that needs to be looked at seriously is issuing eurobonds. That may well be what we need in the longer term to lead us back to growth.

Director, Centre for European Policy Studies

We believe a market-based approach is needed to reduce Greece's debt.

The EFSF should offer holders of Greek debt an exchange into EFSF paper at the current market price. Banks would be forced in the context of the ongoing stress tests to write down holdings in their banking book and thus have an incentive to accept the offer.

More widely, we argue that the EFSF needs to be restructured.

You cannot just increase its size because if Italy or Spain were to step out as a guarantor, that would leave France, for instance, with a share of 40%, which it could not sustain and would lose its triple-A credit rating.

It cannot work as intended, but if it were re-registered as a bank, which would give it access to potentially unlimited ECB refinancing in case of emergency, the general breakdown in confidence could be stopped while leaving the management of public debt under the supervision of finance ministers.

Iain Begg

Professorial research fellow, the European Institute of the London School of Economics. Currently researching EU economic policy, governance and policy co-ordination under European Monetary Union

The one obvious thing leaders should do would be to decide rapidly on a way of moving towards genuine eurobonds.

The Germans, manifestly, are very hostile to the idea, but it is a development that seems to have so many advantages that it ought to be pursued.

The trick will be to find a formula that deals with the "moral hazard" objections by introducing well-judged conditionality.

Economist at Open Europe, an independent think tank campaigning for reform of the EU

Greece obviously needs to restructure. It's looking at write-downs of 50% - that's a necessary step. It finally looks like the eurozone leaders are coming round to that.

But if it's not combined with recapitalising banks and other economic reforms it won't work.

In terms of the write-downs, banks will be able to absorb the hit because they should have been preparing for it for the last year. I think it would be necessary to use the EFSF to help recapitalise these banks and provide a backstop.

At the moment there's no clear pan-European mechanism for dealing with winding down a cross-border bank. I think we need a policy for what happens in this situation, a huge policy that needs to be detailed.

They also have to look at the different needs of the eurozone - for instance, interest rates in Germany would be very different to those in Greece. Those imbalances aren't going to go away.

George Magnus in a green shirt

Senior Economic Adviser, UBS Investment Bank

What I think the Europeans will choose to do is leverage the capital of the EFSF (currently 440bn euros) up by borrowing 5-10 times that from the market. They would then have the capacity to go and buy all of the sickly sovereign bonds that the banks are sitting on and swap them for bonds they themselves will issue.

I don't think it would be successful. In the short run it would probably be a bit of a tonic for bank stock prices and equity markets, but it doesn't do anything to solve the problem of the euro crisis at all.

I think you need a combination of three things.

These are: a restructuring template for Greece's debt with long gross periods - three years for the interest payment and 5-10 years for the principal repayment. That template might then have to be used for other countries.

Then, to stop Greek banks collapsing, you have to support the Greek banking system. And to stop banking contagion spreading to the likes of Italy and Spain, you need a banking recapitalisation programme.

And if the ECB said they were prepared to stand by and buy any amount of Spanish and Italian bonds, then we'd raise three cheers.

Anything that stops short of cleansing the European banking system will not be enough.

Chairman and chief economist, Lombard Street Research

The problem is that the Club Med countries - Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal - are not competitive. Even if they agree to writing down Greek debts and increasing the EFSF, that will only be successful in postponing the issue for a few more months. It won't stop debt going up.

For the euro to survive the only solution is for the Club Med countries to leave the single currency. I think Ireland could stay in the euro as, although it's banking system is a mess, it is cost competitive - exports make up most of its GDP - so it is possible to turn the economy round quite fast.

Holger Schmieding

Former economist at Merrill Lynch/Bank of America, now chief economist at Berenberg Bank

The probability that we will get a significant write-down of Greek debt as part of an orderly programme, with an immediate recapitalisation of Greek banks, and with further European support for Greece, has risen substantially.

The key question in all this is nothing to do with Greece - but whether upon granting Greece debt relief we can protect Italy from the market panic and prevent contagion.

The risk Greece will default is now above 50%. But Greece is highly likely to stay in the euro come what may.

I would like to see the ECB commit to being the ultimate backstop - if things get really ugly the ECB should buy more government bonds.

Professor of economics at the Graduate Institute in Geneva, specialises in monetary integration, monetary policy and financial crisis

Discussions about the EFSF are irrelevant. It shows policymakers haven't zeroed in on the crisis and what to do about it. The EFSF currently has 440bn euros. The amount we're talking about for Italy and Spain, as well as Greece, Portugal and Ireland could be 3.5 trillion euros.

I think that Greece will inevitably default, and I believe that Italy too will have to default, but I don't see a willingness in policymakers to accept that.

The ECB is the only institution that can stop the crisis. My solution is for the ECB to issue a partial guarantee on the existing public debts of eurozone governments, of say, up to 60% of GDP. It would allow governments to default but would create a backstop.


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Cairn makes strike in Sri Lanka

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3 October 2011 Last updated at 08:42 GMT Pipeline Construction The discovery of natural gas is the first in Sri Lanka for decades Edinburgh explorer Cairn Energy has made its first gas strike in Sri Lanka through its Indian subsidiary.

The offshore well was the first to be drilled in the country for 30 years.

Cairn India made the discovery after drilling almost a mile down offshore in the Mannar Basin, Sri Lanka.

Simon Thomson, chief executive, Cairn Energy said: "Cairn is delighted with this frontier exploration discovery, the first well in Cairn India's three well drilling programme in Sri Lanka."

Cairn Energy is in the process of selling off 30% of its 52% stake in Cairn India to the Vedanta Resources and recently won shareholder and Indian government approval for the deal.

The company's focus has moved to Greenland since it announced it was reducing its stake in its Indian unit.

However, it has had a number of disappointments after turning up several dry wells.


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Chinese demand boosts Yum profits

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5 October 2011 Last updated at 01:37 GMT Pizza Hut outlet in Beijing Yum Brands is planning to expand its presence in China even further to cater to growing demand Fast food giant Yum Brands has reported a jump in third-quarter profit as sales at its Chinese outlets continue to grow.

Yum reported a net profit of $383m (£248m) in the three months to 3 September, up from $357m last year.

The owner of Pizza Hut and KFC said same-store sales in China rose 19% during the period.

With close to 4,200 outlets, China accounts for more than 40% of Yum's profits.

"This tremendous sales growth, combined with our expectation to open a record 600 new restaurants this year, gives us even more confidence our China business model is as strong as ever," said David Novak, chairman and chief executive officer of Yum Brands.

Domestic trouble

While it continues to grow in China and other emerging markets, Yum Brands has been struggling in the US market.

The company said like-for-like sales at its US outlets fell as much as 3% in the third-quarter, resulting in a 16% drop in profit during the period.

"We're obviously disappointed in our US performance," Mr Novak said.

Analysts said the company was still suffering the effects of the lawsuit against Taco Bell earlier this year, over allegations that it used large amounts of additives and little actual meat in its beef products.

Though the company denied the claims and the lawsuit was dropped, it damaged Yum's brand image.

"They've got a job to do PR-wise to repair that," said Jack Russo of investment firm Edward Jones.

"It looks like it's stabilising and we'll get to the point next year where they'll be bouncing up against some easier comparisons so that will help," he added.

Yum said that it was planning to launch innovation and productivity initiatives in the US in a bid to improve sales and profits.


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Battle of the knowledge superpowers

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28 September 2011 Last updated at 11:04 GMT By Sean Coughlan BBC News education correspondent Giant technology cluster, Grenoble "Knowledge clusters" are being built in France to kick start hi-tech industries Knowledge is power - economic power - and there's a scramble for that power taking place around the globe.

In the United States, Europe and in rising powers such as China, there is a growth-hungry drive to invest in hi-tech research and innovation.

They are looking for the ingredients that, like Google, will turn a university project into a corporation. They are looking for the jobs that will replace those lost in the financial crash.

Not to invest would now be "unthinkable", says Maire Geoghegan-Quinn, the European Commissioner responsible for research, innovation and science, who is trying to spur the European Union to keep pace in turning ideas into industries.

She has announced £6bn funding to kick-start projects next year - with the aim of supporting 16,000 universities, research teams and businesses. A million new research jobs will be needed to match global rivals in areas such as health, energy and the digital economy.

'Innovation emergency'

Emphasising that this is about keeping up, rather than grandstanding, she talks about Europe facing an "innovation emergency".

"In China, you see children going into school at 6.30am and being there until 8 or 9pm, concentrating on science, technology and maths. And you have to ask yourself, would European children do that?

Maire Geoghegan Quinn Maire Geoghegan-Quinn: "The knowledge economy is the economy that is going to create the jobs"

"That's the competition that's out there. We have to rise to that - and member states have to realise that the knowledge economy is the economy that is going to create the jobs in the future, it's the area they have to invest in."

But the challenge for Europe, she says, is to be able to commercialise ideas as successfully as the United States, in the manner of the iPhone or Facebook.

The commissioner says that she was made abruptly aware of the barriers facing would-be innovators at the Nobel Prize awards ceremony dinner.

Instead of basking in the reflected glory of a prize winner funded by European grants, she said she had to listen to a speech attacking the red-tape and bureaucracy - and "generally embarrassing the hell out of me".

Determined that this would never happen again, she is driving ahead with a plan to simplify access to research funding and to turn the idea of a single European research area into a reality by 2014.

With storm clouds dominating the economic outlook, she sees investing in research and hi-tech industries - under the banner of the "Innovation Union" - as of vital practical importance in the push towards creating jobs and growth.

"We have to be able to say to the man and woman in the street, suffering intensely because of the economic crisis: this is a dark tunnel, but there is light at the end and we're showing you where it is."

Global forum

There has been sharpening interest in this borderland between education and the economy.

This month the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) staged its inaugural Global Forum on the Knowledge Economy.

Continue reading the main story Giant technology cluster, Grenoble

GIANT - the Grenoble Innovation for Advanced New Technologies - is an ambitious French example of a knowledge cluster, combining academic research and commercial expertise.

The classic examples have been in California and Boston in the US, and around Cambridge in the UK. Purpose-built centres include Education City in Qatar, Science City in Zurich and Digital Media City in Seoul.

There will be 40,000 people living, studying and working on the GIANT campus. Centres of research excellence will be side-by-side with major companies who will develop the commercial applications. This includes nanotechnology, green energy and the European Synchotron Radiation Facility (pictured above). A business school, the Grenoble Ecole de Management, is also part on site.

This hi-tech version of a factory town will have its own transport links and a green environment designed to attract people to live and stay here.

This was a kind of brainstorming for governments living on a shoestring.

The UK's Universities Minister, David Willetts, called for a reduction in unnecessary regulation, which slowed down areas such as space research.

The French response has been to increase spending, launching a £30bn grand project to set up a series of "innovation clusters" - in which universities, major companies and research institutions are harnessed together to create new knowledge-based industries.

It's an attempt to replicate the digital launchpad of Silicon Valley in California. And in some ways these are the like mill towns of the digital age, clustered around science campuses and hi-tech employers.

But the knowledge economy does not always scatter its seed widely. When the US is talked about as an innovation powerhouse, much of this activity is based in narrow strips on the east and west coasts.

A map of Europe measuring the number of patent applications shows a similar pattern - with high concentrations in pockets of England, France, Germany and Finland.

There are also empty patches - innovation dust bowls - which will raise tough political questions if good jobs are increasingly concentrated around these hi-tech centres. The International Monetary Fund warned last week that governments must invest more in education to escape a "hollowing out" of jobs.

Speed of change

Jan Muehlfeit, chairman of Microsoft Europe, explained what was profoundly different about these new digital industries - that they expand at a speed and scale that would have been impossible in the traditional manufacturing industries.

Governments trying to respond to such quicksilver businesses needed to ensure that young people were well-educated, creative and adaptable, he said.

As an example of a success story, Mr Muehlfeit highlighted South Korea. A generation ago they deliberately invested heavily in raising education standards. Now, as a direct result of this upskilling, the West is importing South Korean cars and televisions, he said.

Continue reading the main story
The triangle of innovation, education and skills is of extreme importance, defining both the problem and the solution”

End Quote Jose Angel Gurria OECD secretary general Perhaps it is not a coincidence that South Korea's government has its own dedicated knowledge economy minister.

Robert Aumann, a Nobel Prize winner in economics, attending the OECD event, also emphasised this link between the classroom and the showroom. "How do you bring about innovation? Education, education, education," he said.

But this is far from a case of replacing jobs in old rusty industries with new hi-tech versions.

Gordon Day, president of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, the US-based professional association for technology, made the point that digital businesses might generate huge incomes but they might not employ many people. In some cases they might only have a payroll one tenth of a traditional company of a similar size.

It's an uncomfortable truth for governments looking for a recovery in the jobs market.

Degrees of employment

But standing still isn't an option.

Figures released from the OECD have shown how much the financial crisis has changed the jobs market.

Shanghai graduation ceremony Class of 2011 in Shanghai: China now has the second biggest share of the world's graduates

There were 11 million jobs lost, half of them in the United States, and with low-skilled workers and manufacturing the hardest hit. If those losses are to be recovered, it is going to be with higher-skilled jobs, many of them requiring degrees.

But graduate numbers show the shifting balance of power.

From a standing start, China now has 12% of graduates in the world's big economies - approaching the share of the UK, Germany and France put together. The incumbent superpower, the United States, still towers above with 26% of the graduates.

South Korea now has the sixth biggest share of the world's graduates, ahead of countries such as France and Italy.

It means that the US and European countries have to compete on skills with these rising Asian powers.

But the US university system remains a formidably well-funded generator of research. A league table, generated for the first time this month, looked at the global universities with research making the greatest impact - with US universities taking 40 out of the top 50 places.

Their wealth was emphasised this week with the announcement of financial figures from the two Boston university powerhouses, Harvard and MIT, which had a combined endowment of £27bn.

"The triangle of innovation, education and skills is of extreme importance, defining both the problem and the solution," said the OECD's secretary general, Jose Angel Gurria.

"It's a world of cut-throat competition. We lost so much wealth, we lost so many exports, we lost so much well-being, we lost jobs, job, jobs," he told delegates in Paris.

"We must re-boot our economies with a more intelligent type of growth."

Chart showing graduate share

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Reebok pays $25m over toning shoe

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28 September 2011 Last updated at 18:41 GMT Reebok Easy Tone trainers Reebok got into trouble in the US about alleged health benefits of using its toning shoes Sports goods maker Reebok International is to pay $25m (£16m) to settle charges that it made unsupported claims about its Easy Tone and Run Tone shoes.

Reebok, a unit of Adidas, said these toning shoes would "strengthen and tone key leg and buttock (gluteus maximus) muscles more than regular shoes".

The US Federal Trade Commission ruled these advertising claims were false.

Adidas said Reebok had settled with the commission "to avoid a protracted legal battle".

"Settling does not mean we agreed with the FTC's allegations; we do not," Adidas added.

The FTC said Reebok began making the claims in early 2009 and provided statistics about the alleged benefits.

The $25m penalty will go towards consumer refunds.

"The FTC wants national advertisers to understand that they must exercise some responsibility and ensure that their claims for fitness gear are supported by sound science," said David Vladeck, director of the FTC's bureau of consumer protection.

The commission said in one advert Reebok claimed that by walking in its Easy Tone shoes users were able to strengthen hamstrings and calves by up to 11%, and tone the buttocks up to 28% more than normal trainers.

UK advert

It comes three months after a Reebok advert in the UK, which featured Formula One driver Lewis Hamilton, was banned.

The Advertising Standards Authority (ASA) banned the leaflet which said Reebok's ZigTech Apparel helped blood vessels to relax, boosting oxygen levels by up to 7%.

The ASA said the claims could not be proved and also criticised the advert for implying the trainers Hamilton wore in it featured the new technology.

Reebok said it disagreed with the ASA ruling but accepted it.


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AUDIO: Euro fund 'like a Ponzi game'

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30 September 2011 Last updated at 16:11 GMT Help

The euro bailout fund cannot work because already indebted countries like Spain and Italy are contributing to it.

That's the view of Satyajit Das, author of "Extreme Money - Masters of the Universe and the Cult of Risk".

Speaking to the BBC's Mike Johnson, Mr. Das, a derivatives trader in Sydney for 30 years, said the European Financial Stability Facility is like 'a ponzi game', and that Europe's financially troubled countries will end up borrowing from themselves.

Transcript is below

Satyajit Das: What they have been trying to do is replace the lenders. So because the commercial lenders, which is banks and investors, will no longer buy debt issued by Greece, Ireland or Portugal and increasingly are questioning Spain and Italy, they had to find somebody else to give them the money. The problem is who is going to give them the money?

So they have patched together this European Financial Stability Fund which is a very tenuous process, because it doesn't have any money either, but it's guaranteed by a bunch of countries. But the problem here is that those countries themselves are in need of the money from the funds. It's almost a surreal secularity.

Then there is now the suggestion which was foisted on the Europeans by Timothy Geithner, the U.S. Treasury's Secretary that they ought to take the European Financial Stability Fund and the catch phrase being leverage. So we take a vehicle which doesn't have any money backed by dodgy guarantees, but then they will go and borrow even more money. So, basically, it's almost like a Ponzi game on a large scale.

Mike Johnson: It's an extraordinary thing to get your head around. Let me just get this clear, what we are going to have is a situation where countries which are on the verge of bankruptcy are going to be borrowing money effectively from themselves?

Satyajit Das: That's exactly what's going to happen. I will give you the picture. The European Financial Stability Fund is guaranteed by a whole bunch of countries including, interestingly enough, Spain and Italy. Spain and Italy between them make up 30% of the guarantee of the European Financial Stability Fund.

Now what they are going to do is then the European Financial Stability Fund is going to borrow from the European Central Bank, which has also obviously got support from Spain and Italy, and then lend the money to Spain and Italy. It's almost self dealing raised to an art form. It's abstraction on a level of money which is almost incomprehensible.

Mike Johnson: And is there anyone out there who think this is actually going to work?

Satyajit Das: The only people I think who think that are the politicians in Brussels and a few policymakers because to be very honest they don't have any solutions, and they are now playing almost confidence games to try to actually convince people that this will work. And ultimately it won't work because it all boils down to a simple fact.

At the end of the day, if you are going to do the shuffling of debt, you are going to have to have somebody who is good for the debt and we all know who that is, it is Germany. So they have to actually step up and their taxpayers, their savings have to be used to prop up these other countries. Now the body politic in terms of voters aren't willing to do that.

Mike Johnson: You think Germany, the German people will run out of patience with all of this before long, do you?

Satyajit Das: Well, before they run out of patience, they will run out of money because in the end if you actually look at the amount needed just to get through the next two or three years, if you take Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain and Italy, they have maturing debt. This is debt they have issued, about $1.5 trillion between now and the end of 2013.

So all of that money has to be found and at the end if Germany and France and the stronger countries start to take on that burden, their own credit worthiness will be called into question. And if they lose their triple-A ratings, well then the whole game starts to unravel yet again, and it's very difficult to see this having what could be called a happy ending.

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2011年10月26日星期三

Increase in UK mortgage approvals

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29 September 2011 Last updated at 09:29 GMT Estate agency The figures suggest a pick up in sales may lie ahead The number of new mortgages approved, but not yet lent, for home buyers in August rose to its highest level since December 2009.

The Bank of England said 52,410 mortgages were approved last month.

That was nearly three thousand more than in July, and the highest number since December 2009.

The figures suggest that a recent slight relaxation in lending criteria by banks and other lenders will lead to higher sales in the coming months.

Adrian Coles, director-general of the Building Societies Association, said: "Approval figures continue to look promising as consumers take advantage of the competitive mortgage rates."

"However, the outlook for the economy has deteriorated over the past month as has consumer confidence, which could well spill into the housing market, causing further weakness," he warned.

Lending squeeze Continue reading the main story
We are telling people to be realistic. If the price is right then it will sell”

End Quote David Sharpe, Sales negotiator, Dowen estate agents, Hartlepool Average house prices have been stagnant across the UK this year, with both the Nationwide and the Halifax reporting little change in the past few months.

In its latest survey, the Nationwide said house prices had continued to "tread water" in September. House prices rose by 0.1% in the month, Nationwide said, but were 0.3% lower than a year ago.

The number of house sales fell in August, according to the Bank of England's own figures published last week.

They dropped by 6,000 from July to 78,000 in August which was, in turn, 3,000 lower than in August last year.

Approvals are traditionally a good indicator of near term trends in sales, so the latest approvals data suggests that sales funded by mortgage borrowing may pick up this autumn.

But on Wednesday the Bank of England said banks had told it they may face a renewed squeeze on their ability to lend.

In its quarterly Credit Conditions Survey, the Bank said it had been told by some big lenders that they might find increasingly hard to raise the necessary funds on the wholesale financial markets to lend to home buyers.


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Greek PM holds new bailout talks

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30 September 2011 Last updated at 05:59 GMT George Papandreou with Herman Van Rompuy in Warsaw. 29 Sept 2011 Mr Papandreou, left, and Mr Van Rompuy are meeting at an international summit in Warsaw Greek PM George Papandreou is to hold further talks with European leaders as negotiations continue in Athens on a new instalment of bailout loans.

He is holding talks with European Council President Herman Van Rompuy in Warsaw before travelling on to Paris to meet French President Nicolas Sarkozy.

International inspectors are in Athens deciding whether Greece should receive bailout funds of 8bn euros (£6.9bn).

The talks have triggered angry protests on the streets of the Greek capital.

The BBC's Chris Morris in Athens says Mr Papandreou is on a charm offensive, trying to convince his European colleagues that Greece can meet the demands imposed upon it by a tough austerity programme.

The unpopular reforms are vital to guarantee international loans aimed at stopping the debt-ridden country from going bankrupt.

President Sarkozy said that after his meeting with Mr Papandreou on Friday afternoon he would unveil a Franco-German strategy, but did not give any details.

Germany and France together represent about half of the 17-nation eurozone's economic output.

"It is very important that the Franco-German axis can make its voice heard about the concrete application of the decisions taken at the end of July [on a second rescue package for Greece]," Mr Sarkozy said during a visit to Morocco.

Targets missed

"After seeing the Greek prime minister... I will have an opportunity to say exactly what our strategy is for supporting countries like Greece," he added.

Since eurozone leaders agreed on a second rescue package for Greece, Athens has fallen behind on its debt reduction targets, raising fears of a Greek default.

A vote in Germany's parliament on Thursday to back a more powerful bailout fund for eurozone economies was welcomed in Athens.

Mr Sarkozy also congratulated German Chancellor Angela Merkel by telephone on Thursday, his office said, calling the vote a key step in stabilising the eurozone.

Greek taxi drivers strike in Athens. 29 Sept 2011 Greek taxi drivers have been staging a two-day strike over government reforms

Mr Papandreou held talks with Chancellor Merkel in Berlin on Tuesday.

But our correspondent says some analysts believe the whole strategy for Greece, with a possible second bailout, needs urgent readjustment.

That is partly because contagion from Greece to other eurozone countries is no longer a threat but a dangerous reality, he adds.

Greek taxi drivers held angry protests outside parliament on Thursday on the second day of their 48-hour strike.

The drivers are opposed to government reforms that would open their closed-shop profession.

Meanwhile, a second round of talks is being held in Athens between the Greek government and inspectors from the "troika" of international creditors supporting Greece - the European Commission, the European Central Bank (ECB) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Many Greeks believe that austerity measures are pushing the country's crippled economy deeper into recession and strangling any chance of growth.


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VIDEO: Germany passes eurozone vote test

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29 September 2011 Last updated at 13:55 GMT Help

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American Airlines shares plummet

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3 October 2011 Last updated at 21:35 GMT American Airlines planes American Airlines said it would have the youngest fleet in the US within five years Shares in American Airlines' parent company have ended the day down 33% on fears the airline may have to seek bankruptcy protection.

At one point shares in AMR fell by as much as 41% in New York on Monday, sparking automatic halts in trading.

American Airlines is the third largest carrier in the US but has been struggling with high debt loads and sluggish demand.

A spokesman said a Chapter 11 bankruptcy "is certainly not our goal".

More losses

American Airlines is expected to post its fourth straight year of losses in 2011, and analysts expect that to continue into 2012.

It's one of the few major carriers not to have restructured in a Chapter 11 bankruptcy, leaving it with higher costs and debts than competitors.

Several rumours about a possible restructuring appear to have sparked Monday's sell-off, including reports that a large number of pilots were retiring from the company early in case a filing affected their retirement plans.

Fears of a second recession in the United States also contributed towards the share drop, which affected other airline stocks as well.

"The market was ugly," Ray Neidl, an analyst with Maxim Group in New York told the BBC.

"Consumer variables such as airlines were down big time across the board as fears of recession grew bigger."


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Flat summer sales at Thomas Cook

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29 September 2011 Last updated at 07:34 GMT Thomas Cook sign Thomas Cook has issued three profit warnings over the past year in the face of tough trading conditions Thomas Cook has said bookings by its UK customers were "flat" during the summer holiday season, but that its full-year profits should be "broadly in line with market expectations".

In a trading statement, the travel company also said it was continuing to be affected by the political turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa.

It said this had particularly affected its French business.

However, its sales in northern Europe, including Germany, were up strongly.

Its summer bookings for this region - which also includes the Scandinavian countries - were 13% higher than a year earlier.

Bookings in France, Belgium, the Netherlands and Eastern Europe were down 1% from a year ago; and there was no change in the UK.

Boss departure

Thomas Cook's forward bookings for the 2011-12 winter season are currently mixed when compared with the same time last year.

They are down 7% in the UK, and 16% lower in France, Belgium, the Netherlands and Eastern Europe, but up 6% in Germany and Scandinavia.

Thomas Cook said it was continuing efforts to boost its profitability.

The company also said it would not be making any dividend payments. It is instead focusing on paying down its debts of around £900m.

Former chief executive Manny Fontenla-Novoa left in August, followed just over a week later by the head of its UK retail division, Ian Derbyshire.

They departed the company after it had issued its third profit warning in a year.

Thomas Cook is now continuing with a strategic review of the business.


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Zambia president nulls bank sale

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3 October 2011 Last updated at 17:10 GMT Michael Sata President Sata has begun a mass shake-out of political appointees inherited from his predecessor Newly-elected Zambian President Michael Sata has cancelled the controversial sale of one of the country's banks.

The $5.4bn sale of Finance Bank to FirstRand of South Africa was agreed under his predecessor, Rupiah Banda.

The bank had been seized from its shareholders in 2010 by Zambia's central bank, who alleged illegal and unsound practices.

Mr Sata, whose election ended the 20-year rule of the previous regime, has vowed to shake-up the political system.

After only a week in power, the president has already sacked the head of the central bank, as well as a string of other appointees of the previous government, including the head of the anti-corruption authority.

The original decision of the central bank to strip the bank's shareholders has also been overturned.

"There's no document of sale for Finance Bank and I am directing the ministry of finance to take the bank back to its owners immediately," said Mr Sata.

The bank's chairman, Rajan Mahtani, said he was grateful: "I am happy that Zambian investment has been restored to Zambian investors. It was all politically motivated."

FirstRand, a major South African bank, said it had received no formal notification of the decision and would continue to liaise with the Zambian central bank.


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